We document the presence of both small and large price changes in individual price records from the CPI in France and the US. After correcting for measurement error and cross-section heterogeneity we find that the size distribution of price changes has a positive excess kurtosis, with a shape...

C’est maintenant une quasi-certitude : l’UEM entrera en vigueur le 1er janvier 1999. Sa configuration sera définie dès début mai 1998. Depuis le rapport Delors de 1989, sa longue gestation a été rythmée par la crise du SME, la faiblesse de la croissance, la reprise de la hausse du...

We present new evidence on the presence of both small and large price changes in individual price records from the CPI both in France and in the US. After correcting for measurement error and cross-section heterogeneity we find that the size distribution of price changes has a positive excess...

Using the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters to characterize expectations at the micro-level, we emphasize two new facts: forecasters (i) fail to systematically update their forecasts and (ii) disagree even when updating. It is moreover found that forecasters have predictable forecast...

The fiscal theory of the price level has recently received important attention as an alternative theory of price determination. Empirical tests of the FTPL have been rare, and have undergone forceful criticism by Cochrane [Cochrane, J., 1998. A frictionless view of US inflation. NBER...