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Traditional finance is built on the rationality paradigm. This chapter discusses simple models from an alternative approach in which financial markets are viewed as complex evolutionary systems. Agents are boundedly rational and base their investment decisions upon market forecasting heuristics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724209
This paper formalizes the idea that more hedging instruments may destabilize markets when traders are heterogeneous and adapt their behavior according to experience based reinforcement learning. We investigate three different economic settings, a simple mean-variance asset pricing model, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726891
We examine a model in which two firms strategically compete in a duopolistic product market. Firms produce a homogenous product and face stochastic industry demand. Each firm has a single option either to expand or contract capacity, and hence output. In this setup we analyze the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727027
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This discussion paper led to a publication in <A href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0095069611000556">'Journal of Environmental Economics and Management'</A>, 62(2), 229-40.<p>We analyze how the threat of a potential future regime shift affects optimal management. We use a simple general growth model to analyze four cases that involve combinations of stock...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257314
The rational expectations hypothesis is one of the cornerstones of current economic theorising. This review discusses a number of experiments that focus on expectation formation by human subjects and analyses the implications for the rational expectations hypothesis. The experiments show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257595
This discussion paper led to a chapter in: (K.R. Schenk-Hoppe & T. Hens (Eds.,)) <I>Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution</I>, Amsterdam:North Holland/Elsevier, 2009.<P> Traditional finance is built on the rationality paradigm. This chapter discusses simple models from an alternative...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257611
We study a stochastic dynamic game of process innovation in which firms can initiate and terminate R&D efforts and production at different times. We discern the impact of knowledge spillovers on the investments in existing markets, as well as on the likely structure of newly forming markets, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265234
Existing models of R&D are not easily reconciled with four observable aspects of R&D: initial technologies (ideas) need to be developed further, only a minority of initial ideas are successfully brought to the market, production and process innovations take place simultaneously (whereby,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871055