We study social learning and innovation in an overlapping generations model, emphasizing the trade-off between marginal innovation (combining existing technologies) and radical innovation (breaking new ground). We characterize both short-term and long-term dynamics of innovation, and the...

This paper compares the relative performance of different organizational structures for the decision of accepting or rejecting a project of uncertain quality. When the principal is uninformed and relies on the advice of an informed and biased agent, cheap-talk communication is persuasive and it...

In many economic applications involving comparisons of multivariate distributions, supermodularity of an objective function is a natural property for capturing a preference for greater interdependence. One multivariate distribution dominates another according to the `supermodular stochastic...

Cooperative concepts of renegotiation in repeated games have typically assumed that Pareto-ranked equilibria could not coexist within the same renegotiation-proof set. With explicit renegotiation, however, a proposal to move to a Pareto-superior equilibrium can be deterred by a different...

How do discount rates affect agents’ decisions and valuations? This paper provides a general method to analyze this question, allowing stochastic and managed cash flows, stochastic discount rates, and time inconsistency and including arbitrary learning and payoff or utility processes. We show...

We identify a natural way of ordering functions, which we call the interval dominance order and develop a theory of monotone comparative statistics based on this order.  This way of ordering functions is weaker than the standard one based on the single crossing property (Milgrom and Shannon,...

This paper analyzes collective decision making when individual preferences evolve through learning.  Votes are affected by their anticipated effect on future preferences.  The analysis is conducted in a two-arm bandit model with a safe alternative and a risky alternative whose payoff...