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variables, model it using a dynamic factor model, and compare the resulting forecasts with those from a set of standard time …, the factor-based forecasts are shown to improve upon standard benchmarks for prices, real aggregates, and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661430
The share of North-North trade in global trade declined from 55.5 percent in 1990 to around 32 percent in 2010. Such fall in North-North trade had been accompanied by rising trade involving the South countries. The South-North trade share increased from 13.9 percent to 16.5 percent during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109174
It is generally accepted that the recent economic crisis of 2007-2010 has caused widespread economic recession in different countries. Since the ports and coastal regions are of great importance to economic infrastructure, this study examined the possible impact resulting from such a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108429
La littérature sur l’instabilité macroéconomique couvre un champ extrêmement vaste qui se révèle par le spectre très large de mesures utilisées pour appréhender ce phénomène. Le choix de la mesure de l’instabilité macroéconomique apparait généralement peu discuté sous le...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168862
La littérature sur l’instabilité macroéconomique couvre un champ extrêmement vaste qui se révèle par le spectre très large de mesures utilisées pour appréhender ce phénomène. Le choix de la mesure de l’instabilité macroéconomique apparait généralement peu discuté sous le...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168866
This study investigates the existence of day of the week effects on stock returns in the Colombian Stock Exchange (CSE) for the period between June 2001 and March 2005. The Bogotá Stock Exchange was established in 1928. However, the two other main bourses in the country merged with this in 2001...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259010
The study aims to calculate Egypt’s real effective exchange rate at both the bilateral and multilateral levels, estimates the effect of real cross-rate movements on trade in goods and services and on foreign direct investment, and determines the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259979
This paper develops a set of time series models to provide short-term forecasts (6 to 18 months ahead) of international … trade both at the global level and for selected regions. Our results compare favourably to other forecasts, notably by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114993
This paper investigates the effect of real exchange rate on the balance of trade of Cote d'Ivoire using multivariate cointegration tests and vector error correction models with time series data covering the periods of 1975-2007. Our investigation results confirm the existence of long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744680
The degree of integration and openness of OECD economies has consistently increased throughout most of the past three decades. By limiting the influence of non-economic factors, and reducing heterogeneity in economic systems, increased integration and openness enhance the emergence of common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045601