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We derive a novel model of the cash flow dynamics and equilibrium values of private equity funds. Based on intertemporal capital asset pricing results for an investor with logarithmic utility, the model explains a life cycle of systematic fund risk and fund value. The closed form solution allows...
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Accurate modeling of extreme price changes is vital to financial risk management. We examine the small sample properties of adaptive tail index estimators under the class of student-t marginal distribution functions including GARCH and propose a model-based bias-corrected estimation approach....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407899
In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the need to consider more realistic risk models for derivative products has received renewed attention. We introduce a dynamic model for the pricing of European-style options with various attractive features such as a mixture of heavy-tails and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115231
Purpose – The paper aims to model multiple-period market risk forecasts under long memory persistence in market volatility. Design/methodology/approach – The paper proposes volatility forecasts based on a combination of the GARCH(1,1)-model with potentially fat-tailed and skewed innovations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732415
In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the need to consider more realistic risk models for derivative products has received renewed attention. We introduce a dynamic model for the pricing of European-style options with various attractive features such as a mixture of heavy-tails and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891139
This paper addresses market risk prediction for high frequency foreign exchange rates under nonlinear risk scaling behaviour. We use a modified version of the multifractal model of asset returns (MMAR) where trading time is represented by the series of volume ticks. Our dataset consists of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872934