episodes of very high uncertainty. First, we identify episodes of very high uncertainty using a regime-switching model. Second …, we assess the behavior of macroeconomic and financial variables during these episodes of very high uncertainty. This … markets. We find that very high uncertainty episodes are associated with a weaker growth performance and sharp declines in …

episodes of very high uncertainty. First, we identify episodes of very high uncertainty using a regime-switching model. Second …, we assess the behaviour of macroeconomic and financial variables during these episodes of very high uncertainty. This … markets. We find that very high uncertainty episodes are associated with a weaker growth performance and sharp declines in …

geotechnical issues and recommended risk mitigation and management measures. The investigation, design, and construction of dams …

We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) tail inflation risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk … indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …

. Disaster risk management policies are designed to maximize results, taking local conditions - including gender dynamics - as … gender dynamics of disaster risk and resilience also allows for better policy and program design, which benefits all …

then used to characterize the evolution of expectations and uncertainty, the propagation of the shocks, the contribution of …, I show how the methods can be used to capture the link between uncertainty and the state of the economy. Finally, I …, welfare, and uncertainty. All results are derived analytically, do not require numerical integration, and are therefore …