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type="main" xml:id="rssa12060-abs-0001" <title type="main">Summary</title> <p>We present a new methodology to estimate time varying team strengths of football teams. Our dynamic model allows for deterministic, rather than stochastic, evolution of team strengths. We use the model to identify the best team in England since the...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011148455
We present a methodology for fitting time-varying paired comparisons models in which the parameters are allowed to vary deterministically, as opposed to stochastically, with time. Our dynamic paired comparisons model is based on a new closed-form for Stern’s continuum of paired comparisons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753482
The paper presents a point process model for predicting exact end-of-match scores in the premier league of American football, the National Football League. The hazards of scoring are allowed to vary with team statistics from previous games and/or the bookmaker point spread and over-under. The...
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In the statistical and economics literature on lotteries, the problem of designing attractive games has been studied by using models in which sales are a function of the structure of prizes. Recently the prize structure has been proxied by using the moments of the prize distribution. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008537024
From the Olympics to the World Cup, mega sporting events are a source of enjoyment for tens of thousands of people, but can also be a source of intense debate and controversy. This insightful Handbook addresses a number of central questions, including: How are host cities selected and under what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011182813
In this paper we present a modified Duckworth/Lewis method. The key modification is an improved functional form for the model describing the runs to be scored in an innings. In the course of our work we compare several alternative methods for resetting targets in limited overs cricket that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871267