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. They are applicable to the complete class of observation driven models and are valid for a wide range of estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256671
This paper empirically examines the relationship between trading volume and conditional volatility of returns in the Tunisian stock market within the framework of the mixture of distribution hypothesis (MDH) and the sequential information arrival hypothesis (SIAH). Through this study, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268784
prefiltration of the data, which certainly impacts the estimation. We make use of the proposed model to obtain an improved estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607137
measurement error distribution are neglected in the indirect estimation. We propose to solve this inconsistency by jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106767
We propose a new methodology for designing flexible proposal densities for the joint posterior density of parameters and states in a nonlinear non-Gaussian state space model. We show that a highly efficient Bayesian procedure emerges when these proposal densities are used in an independent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256750
We propose an estimation method that circumvents the path dependence problem existing in Change-Point (CP) and Markov …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094059
We present an estimation and forecasting method, based on a differential evolution MCMC method, for inference in GARCH …-recurrent (change-point) regime specifications. We illustrate the estimation method through simulations and apply it to seven financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116269
Financial bubbles and recent behaviour of the Latin American stock markets
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010797415
A new methodology for testing and dating economic bubbles based on a sign test with recursive median adjustment is presented. The methodology, originally proposed by Soo and Shin (2001) to detect random walks, is well-suited, theoretically, to deal with the many features of high-frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763438
The main contribution of this paper is to propose a bootstrap method for inference on integrated volatility based on the pre-averaging approach of Jacod et al. (2009), where the pre-averaging is done over all possible overlapping blocks of consecutive observations. The overlapping nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851203