This article identifies regional characteristics that account for differential forecast accuracy. It is found that population, income, employment, and housing start forecast accuracy depend significantly on county size, growth rate, and elderly population; industrial specialization is...

This paper shows how intervention analysis can be used to estimate the dynamic and spatial impact of recovery from a natural disaster. Specifically, it shows how to estimate three distinct phases of recovery: immediate impact, transitory recovery impact, and negative aftershock. It also...

Two common features of natural disasters are intense regional impact and the call immediately after the event to estimate the economic impact of recovery and reconstruction. The broad purpose of this paper is to help fill the gap in the regional science literature that addresses this issue....