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Are financial cycles an international phenomenon, and, if so, how do financial cycles interact? This letter provides new evidence for the US and the UK. Considering the properties of the data in both the time and the frequency domains, we find a strong relation between the financial cycles of...
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A growing body of literature argues that the financial cycle is considerably longer in duration and larger in amplitude than the business cycle and that its distinguishing features became more pronounced over time. This paper proposes an empirical approach suitable to test these hypothe- ses. We...
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This paper proposes a new approach to assess the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations. We extend the static setup of the predominant news regressions by introducing exponential smooth transition autoregressive dynamics. Our approach provides estimates of a market-perceived inflation...
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