In the aftermath of the financial crisis, new financial market regulation is being implemented, and increasing numbers of countries are establishing new legislation for macroprudential oversight. Against this backdrop, this thought provoking book provides a platform for the leading international...

We use bank-level data to model the demand for bank services in Brazil following the discrete choice literature. A multinomial logit specification is used to study the demand for time deposits, for an aggregate of demand and passbook savings deposits, and for loans. Market for each of these...

Fixed income options contain substantial information on the price of interest rate volatility risk. In this paper, we ask if those options will provide information related to other moments of the objective distribution of interest rates. Based on a dynamic term structure model, we find that...

This paper investigates an intertemporal optimization model to analyze the current account through Campbell & Shiller’s (1987) approach. In this setup, a Wald test is conducted to analyze a set of restrictions imposed to a VAR, used to forecast the current account for a set of countries. We...

This paper studies the predictive ability of a variety of models in forecasting the yield curve for the Brazilian fixed income market. We compare affine term structure models with a variation of the Nelson-Siegel exponential framework developed by Diebold and Li (2006). Empirical results suggest...

This work seeks to analyze empirically the coherence of the VaR and the Expected Shortfall by the definition of Artzner et al. (1997) at the Brazilian Stock Market (Bovespa), calculated with three methodologies: the historical simulation, the analytical approach with EWMA volatility from...

We study what is the systemic impact of banks' foreign funding and what are the determinants of this flow of international money. With that, we intend to establish a relation between banks' foreign funding, carry trade, exchange rate exposure and banking system risk which is novel in the...

This paper empirically evaluates Risk-Neutral Densities (RND) and Real-World Densities (RWD) as predictors of future outcomes of emerging markets currencies. The dataset consists of volatility surfaces from 11 emerging market currencies, with approximately six years of daily data, using options...

This study proposes a new methodology called Canonical FAVAR that incorporates the canonical correlation analysis in the estimation of two-step FAVAR models to obtain more appropriate factors for forecasting. The canonical correlation technique identifies a small number of linear combinations of...

Intuitively core inflation is understood as a measure of inflation where noisy price movements are avoided. This is typically achieved by either excluding or downplaying the importance of the most volatile items. However, some of those items show high persistence, and one certainly does not want...