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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010040227
Patton and Sheppard (2011) develop the concept of signed jumps as the difference between positive and negative realized positive semivariances. This quantity is well-suited for gauging the risk-return trade-off at high-frequency as it is well-defined each day and, contrary to the squared jump...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010639341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10007787406
With the increased availability of high-frequency financial market data in recent years, the extraction of “realized” volatility (from intraday squared returns) has led to numerous theoretical developments and empirical applications for a wide range of equity and commodity markets. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166543
In this paper, we first provide an empirical evidence of the existence of intraday jumps in the crude oil price series. We then show that these jumps, in conjunction with realized volatility measures, are important in modeling the convenience yield over the 2001–2010 period. Our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116951
As both speculative and hedging financial flows into commodity futures are expected to link commodity price formation more strongly to equity indices, we investigate whether these processes also create increased correlation amongst the commodities themselves. Considering U.S. oil and gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796417
Pricing carbon is a central concern in environmental economics, due to the importance of emissions trading schemes worldwide to regulate pollution. This paper documents the presence of small and large jumps in the stochastic process of the CO2 futures price. The large jumps have a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899754
We empirically reinvestigate the issue of excess comovement of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990) and show that excess comovement, when it exists, can be related to hedging and speculative pressure in commodity futures markets. Excess comovement appears when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010900278
We use the information in intraday data to forecast the volatility of crude oil at a horizon of 1–66days using a variety of models relying on the decomposition of realized variance in its positive or negative (semivariances) part and its continuous or discontinuous part (jumps). We show the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871208
We empirically reinvestigate the issue of excess comovement of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990) and show that excess comovement, when it exists, can be related to hedging pressure and speculative intensity in commodity futures markets. Excess comovement appears...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860525