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This article examines hedging in South African stock index futures market. The hedge ratios are estimated by six econometric techniques: the standard OLS regression, simple and vector error correction models, the ECM with generalised autoregressive heteroskedasticity (GARCH), as well as...
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This paper examines the effect of return dispersion on the dynamics of stock market liquidity, risk and return. Moreover, the importance of return dispersion in forecasting aggregate economic activity is rediscovered in the context of a regime switching model that accounts for stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729229
Autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) and heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models are estimated and their ability to predict the one-trading-day-ahead CAC40 realized volatility is investigated. In particular, this paper follows three steps: (i) The optimal sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043141
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to focus on the performance of three alternative value-at-risk (VaR) models to provide suitable estimates for measuring and forecasting market risk. The data sample consists of five international developed and emerging stock market indices over the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010540353
The paper investigates the time-varying correlation between stock market prices and oil prices for oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. A DCC-GARCH-GJR approach is employed to test the above hypothesis based on data from six countries; Oil-exporting: Canada, Mexico, Brazil and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009142925
The time-varying correlation between oil prices returns and European industrial sector indices returns, considering the origin of the oil price shock, is investigated. A time-varying multivariate heteroskedastic framework is employed to test the above hypothesis based on data from 10 European...
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