Despite major recent advance in the literature on financial crises, the key role of central banks in the dynamics of financial crises are still not well understood. Our aim is to contribute to a better understanding of the dynamics of financial crises by explicitly modeling the strategic options...

In this paper, we derive a modification of a forward-looking Taylor rule, which integrates two variables measuring the uncertainty of inflation and GDP growth forecasts into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model. We show that certainty-equivalence in New Keynesian models is a consequence of...

We apply an infinite horizon intertemporal optimization model to a simple speculative attack framework. Thereby, the central bank faces a one control two-state variables optimization problem with endogenuous exit. By setting the interest rate the central bank can stimulate the economy or fend...

Summary This paper develops a market-based procedure to significantly reduce the indebtedness of emerging markets by applying an asset-backed security approach to a pool of emerging market bonds. In an extensive simulation study based on historical data, the cumulated interest savings over a...

In case of speculative attacks, the central banks' decisions to intervene or not to intervene seem to play an important role for the economic costs of currency crises. The central bank can either abstain from intervening or start an intervention, which in turn can be successful or unsuccessful....

In this article, an alternative eurobond approach is developed by applying an asset-backed security (ABS) transaction to a pool of eurozone sovereign bonds. Based on the new approach two different rules to distribute the associated interest gains are analyzed. Within the ABS structure a special...

While currency crises are typically considered to be painful and costly events, a closer look reveals that economic developments after a speculative attack differ considerably. Monetary authorities can play a central role in determining the economic course and costs of currency crises. They have...

European Union (EU) accession countries have strong incentives to stabilize their exchange rates with respect to the euro as the nominal anchor. We present a microstructure model of the foreign exchange market based on technical trading that allows us to categorize the de facto exchange rate...