We consider a varying coefficient regression model for sparse functional data, with time varying response variable depending linearly on some time-independent covariates with coefficients as functions of time-dependent covariates. Based on spline smoothing, we propose data-driven simultaneous...

In spite of the widespread use of generalized additive models (GAMs), there is no well established methodology for simultaneous inference and variable selection for the components of GAM. There is no doubt that both, inference on the marginal component functions and their selection, are...

The development of shadow banking system in China catalyzes the expansion of banks’ off-balance-sheet activities, resulting in a distortion of China’s traditional credit expansion and underestimation of its commercial banks’ overall risk. This paper is the first to incorporate banks’...

We propose a new method to estimate the empirical pricing kernel based on option data. We estimate the pricing kernel nonparametrically by using the ratio of the risk-neutral density estimator and the subjective density estimator. The risk-neutral density is approximated by a weighted kernel...

Values of tranche spreads of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) are driven by the joint default performance of the assets in the collateral pool. The dependence between the names in the portfolio mainly depends on current economic conditions. Therefore, a correlation implied from tranches...

The influence of maternal health problems on child’s worrying status is important in practice in terms of the intervention of maternal health problems early for the influence on child’s worrying status. Conventional methods apply symmetric prior distributions such as a normal...

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used dimension reduction tool in the analysis of many kind of high-dimensional data. It is used in signal process- ing, mechanical ingeneering, psychometrics, and other fields under different names. It still bears the same mathematical idea: the...

An extended single-index model is considered when responses are missing at random. A three-step estimation procedure is developed to define an estimator for the single index parameter vector by a joint estimating equation. The proposed estimator is shown to be asymptotically normal. An iterative...

Ladislaus von Bortkiewicz (1868 - 1931) was a European statistician. His scientific work covered theoretical economics, stochastics, mathematical statistics and radiology, today we would call him a cross disciplinary scientist. With his clear views on mathematical principles with their...

As observed in the financial crisis, CDS spreads tend to increase simutaneously as a reaction to common shocks. Focusing on the spillover effects triggered by extreme events, we propose a credit risk analysis tool by applying credit default swap spread returns to the concept of 4CoVaR suggested...