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In the context of Dynamic Factor Models (DFM), we compare point and interval estimates of the underlying unobserved factors extracted using small and big-data procedures. Our paper differs from previous works in the related literature in several ways. First, we focus on factor extraction rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188893
This paper proposes a new stochastic volatility model to represent the dynamic evolution of conditionally heteroscedastic time series with leverage effect. Although there are already several models proposed in the literature with the same purpose, our main justification for a further new model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861885
In this paper we propose a new class of asymmetric stochastic volatility (SV) models, which specifies the volatility as a function of the score of the distribution of returns conditional on volatilities based on the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) model. Different specifications of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010940765
In the context of dynamic factor models (DFM), it is known that, if the cross-sectional and time dimensions tend to infinity, the Kalman filter yields consistent smoothed estimates of the underlying factors. When looking at asymptotic properties, the cross- sectional dimension needs to increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010585959
The adequacy of GARCH models is often analyzed by comparing plug-in and sample kurtosis and autocorrelations of squares. We analyse the finite sample suitability of this comparison and show that it is not appropiate in general.
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In this paper, we analyze five of the most popular models proposed to represent conditional heteroscedasticity with leverage effect, namely, GQARCH, TGARCH, GJR, EGARCH, and APARCH. We show that when the parameters satisfy the positivity, stationarity, and finite kurtosis conditions, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970327
GARCH volatilities depend on the unconditional variance, which is a non-linear function of the parameters. Consequently, they can have larger biases than estimated parameters. Using robust methods to estimate both parameters and volatilities is shown to outperform Maximum Likelihood procedures.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041771