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Ireland has no ability to affect the exchange rate through interest rates following the adoption of the euro. This paper provides a theoretically transparent method for analysing the impact of an exchange rate shock on employment and the aggregate price level in this context. The split between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537886
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010857083
This note examines the longer term implications for Ireland of changes to EU budgetary rules embodied in the Fiscal Compact. On the basis of fiscal projections to 2015, it presents illustrative scenarios showing the on-going correction in the budgetary position post-2015 needed to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575697
Ireland has no ability to affect the exchange rate through interest rates since the adoption of the euro. This paper provides a theoretically transparent method for analysing the impact of an exchange rate shock on employment and inflation in this context. The split between the tradable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005727905
The paper constructs various core inflation measures. These include various trimmed means using disaggregated data and a structural VAR estimate of core inflation for Ireland. The ability of these core inflation measures to forecast future headline inflation is compared using a regression model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132941
This article examines some recent trends related to consumption expenditure and prices in the Irish Economy.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010565756
Core inflation rates are widely calculated. The perceived benefit of core inflation rates is that they help to inform monetary policy. This is achieved by uncovering the underlying trend in inflation or by helping to forecast inflation. Studies which compare core inflation rates frequently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868329
The recent financial crisis resulted in a steep contraction in the domestic economy together with a sharp decline in inflation. The Phillips curve model of inflation argues that inflation should be negatively related to economic performance and this would seem to be a potential explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601989
The recent financial crisis resulted in a steep contraction in the domestic economy together with a sharp decline in inflation. The Phillips curve model of inflation argues that inflation should be negatively related to economic performance and this would seem to be a potential explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601991
There are doubts regarding the empirical benefits of forecast aggregation. Theoretical research clearly supports forecast aggregation but conflicting results exist in the empirical literature. We search the literature for empirical regularities. One important issue often cited is estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758680