We estimate a dynamic model of default for a cohort of Colombian debtors between 1997 and 2004, which was a period of unprecedented financial stress in Colombia. We develop a methodological framework based on a fully dynamic behavioral model that accounts for both cross-sectional and aggregate...

We describe identification conditions for dynamic discrete choice models that include unobserved state variables that are correlated across individuals and across time periods. The proposed framework extends the standard literature on the structural estimation of dynamic models by incorporating...

We estimate a dynamic model of mortgage default for a cohort of Colombian debtors between 1997 and 2004. We use the estimated model to study the efects on default of a class of policies that afected the evolution of mortgage balances in Colombia during the 1990's. We propose a framework for...

This paper develops a methodology to estimate models of demand for differentiated durable goods with fully heterogeneous consumers. It expands standard discrete choice models by endogenizing purchase timing decisions using a participation function which is the result of the consumers’...

The estimation of production functions suffers from an unresolved identification problem caused by flexible inputs, such as intermediate inputs. We develop an identification strategy for production functions based on a transformation of the firm's short-run first order condition that solves the...

The panel data literature on deterrence and capital punishment contains a wide range of empirical claims despite the use of common data sets for analysis. We interpret the diversity of findings in the literature in terms of differences in statistical model assumptions. Rather than attempt to...

We present a new approach to the estimation of production functions that allows for richer patterns of firm heterogeneity than can be accommodated under the proxy variable methods of and Olley/Pakes and Levinsohn/Petrin. In particular, we show that the economics of the firms static input choice...

This paper examines the relationship between mortgage default decisions andrelevant observable variables under the light of a random utility model. The focusof the study is the Colombian mortgage market between 1997 and 2004 using twoseparate data sets that are matched using simulation...

El objetivo de este documento es evaluar el efecto de los impuestos, la tasa de cambio y el ingreso de los hogares en la demanda colombiana de carros nuevos entre 2001 y 2011. Durante este periodo las ventas de vehículos se incrementaron y la composición de las ventas cambió sustancialmente....

En este documento presentamos medidas del tamaño de la cadena de producción industrial colombiana, la cual representa alrededor del 35% de la economía. Entre 1990 y 2000 esta cadena productiva dejó de crecer, pero desde el año 2000 ha crecido persistentemente y no ha perdido participación...