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In this paper we focus on robust linear optimization problems with uncertainty regions defined by ø-divergences (for example, chi-squared, Hellinger, Kullback-Leibler). We show how uncertainty regions based on ø-divergences arise in a natural way as confidence sets if the uncertain parameters...
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In the area of computer simulation, Latin hypercube designs play an important role. In this paper the classes of maximin and Audze-Eglais Latin hypercube designs are considered. Up to now only several two-dimensional designs and a few higher dimensional designs for these classes have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727125
We analyze the importance of longevity risk for the solvency of portfolios of pension annuities. We distinguish two types of mortality risk. Micro-longevity risk quantifies the risk related to uncertainty in the time of death if survival probabilities are known with certainty, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005374760
In modeling and forecasting mortality the Lee-Carter approach is the benchmark methodology. In many empirical applications the Lee-Carter approach results in a model that describes the log central death rates by means of linear trends. However, due to the volatility in (past) mortality data, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005375018
Payments of life insurance products depend on the uncertain future evolution of survival probabilities. This uncertainty is referred to as longevity risk. Existing literature shows that the effect of longevity risk on single life annuities can be substantial, and that there exists a (natural)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011091822
We consider defined benefit pension plans that, at retirement age, allow the participant to choose between a single life annuity and a joint and survivor annuity. We compare two plans that differ in terms of how pension rights are accrued. In one plan, the participant accrues the right to...
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