Using annual US data for gross domestic product originating by sector between 1947 and 1997 it is shown that a negative long-run relationship between inflation and the markup is present across the sectors as well as in the aggregate data. A preliminary explanation based on industry structure is...

This paper investigates the possibility, raised by P. Perron (1989, 1990) and P. Rappoport and L. Reichlin (1989), that aggregate economic time series can be characterized as being stationary around broken trend lines. Unlike those authors, the authors treat the break date as unknown a priori....

A common finding in the empirical literature on the validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) is that it holds when tested for in panel data, but not in univariate (i.e. country-specific) analysis. The usual explanation for this mismatch is that panel tests for unit roots are more powerful than...

The Factor-augmented Error Correction Model (FECM) generalizes the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) and the Error Correction Model (ECM), combining error-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models. It uses a larger set of variables compared to the ECM and incorporates the long-run...

Spurious regression analysis in panel data when the time series are cross-section dependent is analyzed in the paper. We show that consistent estimation of the long-run average parameter is possible once we control for cross-section dependence using cross-section averages in the spirit of the...

Starting from the dynamic factor model for non-stationary data we derive the factor-augmented error correction model (FECM) and, by generalizing the Granger representation theorem, its moving-average representation. The latter is used for the identification of structural shocks and their...

The primary goal of this paper is to examine credit access of farmers in Nicaragua. We identify the primary factors determining their probability of securing a loan. We are also concerned with understanding the impact on agricultural sector of the large number of micro-finance institutions...

As a generalization of the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) and of the Error Correction Model (ECM), Banerjee and Marcellino (2009) introduced the Factor-augmented Error Correction Model (FECM). The FECM combines error-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models, and has several conceptual...