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the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278934
Using aggregate quarterly data for the period 1975q1–2010q4, I find that the US housing market changed from a stable regime with prices determined by fundamentals, to a highly unstable regime at the beginning of the previous decade. My results indicate that these imbalances could have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819023
Using aggregate quarterly data for the period 1975q1–2010q4, I find that the US housing market changed from a stable regime with prices determined by fundamentals, to a highly unstable regime at the beginning of the previous decade. My results indicate that these imbalances could have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583586
This paper investigates the stability of households' consumption behaviour in France through a prcedure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005630678
Housing and pension wealth are shown to be important determinants of personal sector consumption and retirement … behaviour in the UK. Housing and state pension wealth have a positive effect on consumption, while private pension wealth … shown to be important. The consumption equation forecasts the late 1980s boom and the early 1990s slump in the UK better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071212
We argue that the equation commonly used in the estimation of the wealth effect on consumption might be unsuitable for … volatility increases. Estimation of a Markov-switching model of the usual long-run aggregate consumption equation provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706243
A dynamic consumption function, where consumption in the long run is determined by households’ disposable income and … wealth, has been superior to the Euler equation in explaining the development of Norwegian aggregate consumption over several … deregulation and the current international financial crisis. In the current version, long run consumption is homogeneous in income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509743
This paper deals with an alternative approach to treating seasonality in error correction models for consumption with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382296
1982-2003. To this end, standard consumption equations are estimated and then compared, in terms of in-sample and out … about the i) current, ii) future, iii) general, and iv) personal situation. In turn, the total private consumption is … household surveys improves both the goodness- of-fit of consumption equations and their forecasting performances. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412574
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998267