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processing rate. Although a decline of policy activism directly increases output volatility, it indirectly anchors expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593745
This paper develops an adaptive learning formulation of an extension to the Ball, Mankiw and Reis (2005) sticky information model that incorporates endogenous inattention. We show that, following an exogenous increase in the policymaker's preferences for price vs. output stability, the learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196104
This paper provides a concise primer on the estimation of constant gain learning models. One practical concern in the estimation procedure is the initialization of the learning parameters. The popular approach in the literature relies on a training sample to estimate these quantities. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765470
which of the two policy rules - contemporaneous data or expectations of current variables - better describes the policy … contemporaneous expectations over real time data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765471
We find that investors' expectations of U.S. nominal yields, at different maturities and forecast horizons, exhibit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862715
target that is enforced based on policy makers expectations. Monetary policy on its own is not enough to ensure that the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933645
to one of the rational expectations equilibria in the economy. We test these monetary policy rules in the general setup …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036042
This paper demonstrates that the adaptive learning approach to modelling private sector expectations can be used as an … the two rational expectations equilibria is stable under least-squares learning, and that it is always the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125682
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active inflation stabilization and agents face uncertainty about the nature of these deviations. When observing a deviation, agents conduct Bayesian learning to infer its likely duration. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099910
learn, form their expectations, and make decisions regarding savings and production for future periods. There are no … are unexpected by agents, or if future price expectations are not adjusted exactly proportionally to the announced …, as that would require it knowing precisely the actual law of motion of the economy, current market’s expectations, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259238