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This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599690
the trends of Chinese and international crude oil prices and their fluctuations by testing the Granger causality and the … term, there is bilateral Granger causality between Chinese and international crude oil prices. However, the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005751691
the trends of Chinese and international crude oil prices and their fluctuations by testing the Granger causality and the … term, there is bilateral Granger causality between Chinese and international crude oil prices. However, the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008539091
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004568545
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004221775
"This paper discusses methodological problems of standard errors and treatment effects. First, heteroskedasticity- and cluster-robust estimates are considered as well as problems with Bernoulli distributed regressors, outliers and partially identified parameters. Second, procedures to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752326
Since the Asian flu several empirical studies revealed that in the crisis circumstances the relationship between the stock prices and the exchange rates could suffer significant changes. Such findings were confirmed during the global crisis that started in 2008. In the case of Romania the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258314
linkages between 11 big emerging stock markets (China, Brazil, Egypt, India, and Indonesia etc.). To figure out the … used, followed by a VAR Pairwise Granger causality/block exogeneity Wald. The analysis results are further discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010669630
exchange rate return is the percentage change of the nominal bilateral exchange rate. Three estimation methods are used to … capture the interaction between stock and foreign exchange markets: bounds testing for cointegration, non-causality test, and … the two-step approach with a bivariate GARCH model and Granger causality test. Findings – The results of the present study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010814925
by using the vector error correction model, the bounds testing methodology and linear and non-linear Granger causality … and stock prices exists in only seven out of twelve countries. The results of the linear causality tests indicate that …-linear Granger causality suggest that unidirectional and bidirectional non-linear causal relationships exist between stock prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610857