Showing 1 - 10 of 103
The connection between the macroeconomic development on one hand and the stock market dynamics on the other hand is the focus of many research initiatives. We are trying to apply the methodology used in the field of macroeconomic convergence to the dynamics of market capitalization for European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011082313
Lawrence Robert Klein played a fundamental role in the genesis and development of econometric applications and forecasting. The work dedicated to forecasting earned him the 1980 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences "for the creation of econometric models and their application to the analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765778
In this paper we analyze the impact of quantitative easing policies issued by the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan on credit risk, in nine states belonging mainly to the Central and Eastern European area. We use an ARMA-GARCH model to obtain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938018
This paper aims to analyze the process of financial integration in the EU-27 area, from 2000 to 2013, using nonparametric methods. Besides a set of other nonparametric measures (e.g. Hartigen and Hartigen test, Kernel density estimation), the stochastic kernel indicates the presence of two or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208949
The paper interprets the dynamics of the underground economy in a transforming environment by highlighting the role of institutions in enforcing the rules of the game and the phenomenon of strain. A basic idea is that the underground economy emerges as a means for the system to diffuse its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677566
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001975673
This article studies the convergence of risk on a sample of 13 European indexes. We use a set of 31 model specifications of a significant number of models belonging to the GARCH class and on their estimates we build an aggregate index in a Value-at-Risk approach. We use this index as a base for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107008
This paper studies the effect of a series of quantitative easing initiatives belonging to the Bank of Japan on Central and Eastern European sovereign CDSs. Using daily data for the 2005 – 2013 period and considering 23 announcements of QE initiatives we build an econometric event study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107011
The importance of connections between macroeconomic growth and financial markets is studied for a long time in the academic research. The special case of the developing countries, which is the case of the Central and Eastern European economies highlights this phenomenon even more, as many of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011120364
In the current post-crisis era, the events with the highest probability to move the financial markets are the announcements of financial authorities concerning the quantitative easing decisions. The objective of this paper is to build an analysis of the existence of connections among the GBP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011120369