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In this paper we discuss some statistical pitfalls that may occur in modeling cross-dependences with copulas in financial applications. In particular we focus on issues arising in the estimation and the empirical choice of copulas as well as in the design of time-dependent copulas
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012738150
In this paper, we characterize explicitly the first derivative of the Value at Risk and the Expected Shortfall with respect to portfolio allocation when netting between positions exists. As a particular case, we examine a simple Gaussian example in order to illustrate the impact of netting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739465
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005411759
We develop a new method for generating dynamics of conditional correlation matrices between asset returns. These correlation matrices will be parameterized by a subset of their partial correlations, whose structure will be described by an undirected graph called \vine". Since such partial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011167313
We provide conditions for the existence and the unicity of strictly stationary solutions of the usual Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH models (DCC-GARCH). The proof is based on Tweedie's (1988) criteria, after having rewritten DCC-GARCH models as nonlinear Markov chains. Moreover, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778552
We define a new approach to manage prepayment, default and interest rate risks simultaneously in some standard asset-backed securities structures. We propose a parsimonious top-down approach, by modeling directly the portfolio loss process and the amortization process. Both are correlated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010866966
This work focuses on modeling the dynamics of volatilities and correlations between financial assets returns. After a literature review of univariate and multivariate GARCH-type models, the author establishes results for the existence and uniqueness of stationary solutions of dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938598
We provide conditions for the existence and the unicity of strictly stationary solutions of the usual Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH models (DCC-GARCH). The proof is based on Tweedie's (1988) criteria, after having rewritten DCC-GARCH models as nonlinear Markov chains. Moreover, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747002
We propose a new goodness-of-fit test for copulas, based on empirical copula processes and nonparametric bootstrap counterparts. The standard Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test for copulas that takes the supremum of the empirical copula process indexed by orthants is extended by test statistics based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747006
We provide a rigorous proof of granularity adjustment (GA) formulas to evaluate loss distributions and risk measures (value-at-risk) in the case of heterogenous portfolios, multiple systematic factors and random recoveries. As a significant improvement with respect to the literature, we detail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747023