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We assess the extent to which stock market information can be used to estimate leading indicators of bank financial distress. We specify a logit early warning model, designed for European banks, which tests if market based indicators add predictive value to models relying on accounting data. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780093
This paper addresses the issue of both domestic and cross border systemic risk for 8 countries in Southeast Asia (Hong Kong, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, The Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand). We use weekly data on individual bank stock prices from 2000 to 2005 to construct bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726696
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This paper studies the role that can be played by the stock market in the early detection of bank financial distress. We test the additional contribution of market indicators to accounting indicators in the European case and its accuracy for opaque institutions. We show that the significance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008578387
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We aim to assess the accuracy of accounting and stock market indicators to predict rating changes of banks. We conduct a stepwise process to determine the optimal set of early indicators by tracing upgrades and downgrades by rating agencies as well as other relevant factors. Our results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720229
This paper investigates whether market information is reliable to predict financial deterioration of large Too Big To Fail banks in Asia. A stepwise logit model is first estimated to isolate the optimal set of accounting indicators to predict rating downgrades. The model is then extended to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820702
This paper investigates whether market information could add to accounting information in the prediction of bank financial distress in Asia. A stepwise logit model is first estimated to isolate the optimal set of accounting indicators and then extended to include market indicators. Dummy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821430
The theory of financial intermediation highlights various channels through which capital and liquidity are interrelated. Using a simultaneous equations framework, we investigate the relationship between bank regulatory capital buffer and liquidity for European and U.S. publicly traded commercial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899573