This paper theoretically explores the characteristics underpinning quadratic term structure models (QTSMs), which designate the yield on a bond as a quadratic function of underlying state variables. We develop a comprehensive QTSM, which is maximally flexible and thus encompasses the features of...

This paper investigates the implications of mixtures of affine, quadratic, and nonlinear models for the term structure of volatility. The dynamics of the term structure of interest rates appear to exhibit pronounced time-varying or stochastic volatility. Ahn, Dittmar, and Gallant (2000) provide...

In this paper, we assess the profitability of momentum trading strategies using a stochastic discount factor approach. We estimate the stochastic discount factor from a set of basis assets, assuming that the law of one price (or, alternatively, no-arbitrage) holds, and simultaneously assess the...

Using genetic programming techniques to find technical trading rules, we find strong evidence of economically significant out-of-sample excess returns to those rules for each of six exchange rates, over the period 1981-1995. Further, when the dollar/deutschemark rules are allowed to determine...

We argue that the cointegrating relation between dividends and consumption, a measure of long-run consumption risks, is a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks disappear, and the asset's beta is dominated by long-run...

This paper investigates nonlinear pricing kernels in which the risk factor is endogenously determined and preferences restrict the definition of the pricing kernel. These kernels potentially generate the empirical performance of nonlinear and multifactor models, while maintaining empirical power...

We analyze the impact of emerging-market sovereign bonds on emerging-market corporate bonds by examining their spanning enhancement, price discovery, and issuance effects. We find that the effect of spanning enhancement is positive and large; over one-fifth of the information in corporate yield...

A common model for security price dynamics is the continuous time stochastic volatility model. For this model, Hull and White (1987) show that the price of a derivative claim is the conditional expectation of the Black-Scholes price with the forward integrated variance replacing the...