Dans cet essai, nous présentons deux nouveaux estimateurs qui ont la propriété d’être convergents en présence d’erreurs de mesure sur les variables. Ces estimateurs sont basés sur les cumulants d’ordre deux et trois de la matrice des variables explicatives. Nous présentons...

Currency and interest rate swaps are subject to a complex, two-sided default risk. Several theoretical papers have recently addressed the problem of pricing swap credit risk. We implement a recent credit risk pricing model in order to attempt to evaluate a line of research in theoretical credit...

Currency and interest rate swaps are subject to a complex, two-sided default risk. Although several theoretical papers have recently addressed the problem of pricing swap credit risk, the empirical literature is almost non-existent. This is the only study we know of that uses actual transaction...

This paper presents an alternative modelling of the term structure of the credit spreads under a structural approach. We rely upon the barrier option pricing frameworkto price a corporate zero-coupon bond with a stochastic present value of the recovery consistent with the evidence on the...

The loss ratio (LR) for insurance companies is defined as the ratio of incurred claims and earned premiums for a specified class of insurance (CoI). The company may estimate then its capital requirement for that particular CoI by using Value at Risk (VaR) or conditional VaR (CVaR) of the loss...

We construct a model of valuation to assess the financial fragility of a set of firms in a closed economy. A firm is identified with a possibly infinite random sequence of benefits. Firms with negative benefits in a given period are said to be in distress and need liquidity to refinance their...

In this paper a simulation approach for defaultable yield curve is developed within the Heath et al. (1992) framework. The default event is modelled using the Cox process when the stochastic intensity repre sents the credit spread. The forward credit spread volatility function is affected by the...

Recent literature focuses on the systematic and specific components of credit risk (Dichev [1998], Wilson [1998], Jarrow, Lando & Yu [2001]). It is currently assumed, at least implicitly, that financial data are all subject to one latent systematic factor (Jarrow, Lando & Yu [2001], Lucas,...

This paper focuses on the key credit risk parameter–Loss Given Default (LGD). We describe its general properties and determinants with respect to seniority of debt, characteristics of debtors or macroeconomic conditions. Further, we illustrate how the LGD can be extracted from market...