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This paper discusses an extension of the traditional lognormal representation for the risk neutral spot freight rate dynamics to a diffusion model overlaid with jumps of random magnitude and arrival. Then, we develop a valuation framework for options on the average spot freight rate, which are...
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This paper reproduces the performance of an international market capitalization shipping stock index and two physical shipping indexes by investing only in US stock portfolios. The index-tracking problem is addressed using the differential evolution algorithm and the genetic algorithm....
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<section xml:id="fut21657-sec-0001"> This study investigates the dependence structure between correlated petroleum forward curves. After decomposing the term structure into level, slope, and curvature shocks we develop a flexible multi‐regime error‐correction factor model of the dynamics of the joint evolution of commodity...</section>
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In this paper we employ regime volatility models to describe time dependency in petroleum markets. Using a sample of NYMEX and ICE futures contracts, we establish the existence of a regime process and link this process to market fundamentals. This formulation results in two distinct states: a...
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