This paper studies the redistributive effects of government partisanship on economic sectors in a parliamentary democracy. Based on a rational partisan perspective and policy-induced campaign contribution models, we expect that once in office, ideologically different parties deliver favorable...

Forecasting plays an increasingly important role in the scientific study of European Union politics and in political science in general. This is because forecasts are not only indispensable for (political) actors who need to form expectations about future events, but can also be used to judge...

How does divided government affect the probability of economic policy change, and thus policy risk on financial markets? In contrast to the standard balancing model we argue that divided government, i.e., partisan conflict between the executive and the legislative branches, negatively affects...

This paper examines the redistributive effects of government partisanship on economic sectors. Based on a rational partisan perspective and policy-induced campaign contribution models we expect that once in office, ideologically different parties deliver favourable policies to different...

Partisan theory and extant evidence from parties' ideal policies suggest firms to perform better under right - than under left-leaning governments. If investors anticipate these effects of different parties holding office, changes in expected government partisanship should produce distinct...