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This study provides a rigorous empirical comparison of structural and reduced-form credit risk frameworks. The literature differentiates between structural models that are based on modeling of the evolution of the balance sheet of the issuer, and reduced-form models that specify credit risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707361
Using a unique data set on German banks’ loans to the German real economy, we investigate banks’ credit risk. This data set contains the volume of loans, and write-downs on loans, per bank and industry. Our empirical study for the period 2003–2011 yields the following results: (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208764
Using a unique data set on German banks' loans to the German real economy, we investigate banks' credit risk. This data set includes the volume of loans per bank and industry as well as the corresponding write-downs. Our empirical study for the period 2003-2011 yields the following results: (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010984743
We analyze the dynamics of banks' regulatory capital ratios. Using monthly regulatory data of large German banks, we estimate the target level and the adjustment speed of the capital ratio for each bank separately. There exists a target level for a substantial percentage of banks. Unlike with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008446312
The implementation of the Markowitz optimization requires the knowledge of the parameters of the return distribution. These parameters cannot be observed, but have to be estimated. Merton (1980) and Jorion (1985) point out that especially the expected returns are hard to estimate from time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739998
Banks face a tradeoff between diversifying and focusing their loan portfolio. In this paper we carry out an empirical study for the German market to shed light on the question whether or not the benefits of risk sharing outweigh those of specialization. We use data from the Bundesbank's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731715
Interest income is the most important source of revenue for most of the banks. The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of different interest rate scenarios on the banks' interest income. As we do not know the interest rate sensitivity of real banks, we construct for each bank a portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770305
We analyze how a single economic risk figure for the Value at Risk of a hypothetical portfolio composed of different commercial banks might be obtained for a supervisor. Using the daily profits and losses and the daily Value at Risk figures of German banks for the period from 2001 to 2004, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769538
According to standard portfolio theory, the tangency portfolio is the only efficient stock portfolio. However, empirical studies show that an investment in the global minimum variance portfolio often yields better out-of-sample results than does an investment in the tangency portfolio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779187