In the context of a three-moment Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model specification, we characterize conditional co-skewness between stock and bond excess returns using a bivariate regime-switching model. We find that both conditional U.S. stock co-skewness (the relation between stock...

Using monthly stock and bond return data in the past 150 years (1855-2001) for both the U.S. and the U.K., this study documents time-varying stock-bond correlation over macroeconomic conditions (the business cycle, the inflation environment and monetary policy stance). There are different...

A government policy regarding the reduction of state shares in state-owned enterprises (SOE) triggered a crash in the Chinese stock market. The sus- tained depression even after policy adjustments constitutes a puzzle— the so called “state-share paradox.”The empirical evidence shows...

A government policy regarding the reduction of state shares in state-owned enterprises (SOE) triggered a crash in the Chinese stock market. The sus- tained depression even after policy adjustments constitutes a puzzle— the so called “state-share paradox.”The empirical evidence shows...

In the context of a three-moment intertemporal capital asset pricing model specification, we characterize conditional coskewness between stock and bond excess returns using a bivariate regime-switching model. We find that both conditional U.S. stock coskewness (the relation between stock return...

We seek the roots of one-minute changes in VIX, an index of S&P 500 option prices, to understand risk neutral volatility and its risk premium component. Beyond leverage and risk premium effects, macroeconomic influences and some proxies for noise trading in the S&P 500 ETF market are...

Along with China's economic slowdown and policy tightening, the real estate market has been experiencing a mid-term correction since late 2007. This round of property sector downturn is cyclical rather than secular and will last from two to two and a half years (September 2007-early 2010). From...

The conventional wisdom that house prices are the present value of future rents ignores the fact that rents are not discretionary as in dividends on stocks. Housing price uncertainty can affect household property investment, which in turn affects rent. By extending the theory of investment under...