We build an equilibrium model with commodity producers who are averse to future cash flow variability, and hedge using futures. Their hedging demand is met by risk-constrained speculators. Increases in producers' hedging demand (speculators' risk- capacity) increase hedging costs via...

We build an equilibrium model of commodity markets in which speculators are capital constrained, and commodity producers have hedging demands for commodity futures. Increases in producers hedging demand or speculators capital constraints increase hedging costs via price-pressure on futures....

We propose a representative agent habit formation model where preferences are defined over both luxury goods and basic goods. The model matches the equity risk premium, risk free rate, and volatilities. From the intratemporal first order condition we can substitute out basic good consumption and...

We examine how long-run consumption risk arises endogenously in a standard production economy model where the representative agent has Epstein-Zin preferences. Even when technology growth is i.i.d., optimal consumption smoothing induces highly persistent time-variation in expected consumption...

In this paper we identify a unique series of recurring stale information releases and show that the aggregate markets respond to its release. The macroeconomic series -- the U.S. Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) -- is released monthly and constructed as a summary statistic of...

Motivated by the literature on limits-to-arbitrage, we build an equilibrium model of commodity markets in which speculators are capital constrained, and commodity producers have hedging demands for commodity futures. Increases (decreases) in producers' hedging demand (speculators' risk-capacity)...

We build an equilibrium model of commodity markets in which speculators are capital constrained, and commodity producers have hedging demands for commodity futures. Increases in producers' hedging demand or speculators' capital constraints increase hedging costs via price-pressure on futures....

We show theoretically that while cash allows financially constrained firms to hedge future investment against income shortfalls, reducing current debt is a more effective way to boost investment in future high cash flow states. Thus, constrained firms prefer higher cash to lower debt if their...

Insider trading in the credit derivatives market has become a significant concern for regulators and participants. This paper attempts to quantify the problem. Using news reflected in the stock market as a benchmark for public information, we report evidence of significant incremental...