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tails of standardized GARCH residuals. Monte Carlo simulation shows that our method consistently provides lower VaR forecast … estimation risk of robust VaR forecasts implies VaR prediction intervals that can be nearly 20% narrower and 50% less volatile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162990
Simulation, and classical Filtered Historical Simulation methods. We show empirically that robust estimation reduces tail …. The method is based on a robust estimation of parametric GARCH models and a robustified resampling scheme for GARCH … residuals that controls bootstrap instability due to outlying observations. A Monte Carlo simulation shows that our robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012717719
distribution specifications or historical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation … assumptions on the underlying statistical distributions, a variety of analytical methods and simulation-based methods are … simulation context.<BR> This paper tries to fill this gap by investigating these VaR concepts in a general distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144576
orhistorical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation have receivedsubstantial … the underlying statistical distributions, a variety of analyticalmethods and simulation-based methods are available. Aside … and incremental VaR in either a non-normal analytical setting or a MonteCarlo / historical simulation context.This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256282
The paper compares two approaches to the estimation of panel probit models: the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and …. Particular attention is paid to a three-stage GMM estimator based on nonparametric estimation of optimal instruments. A Monte …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958307
In this paper, we introduce a new Poisson mixture model for count panel data where the underlying Poisson process … Gibbs sampling scheme. We apply our model to a recent household panel of supermarket visit counts. We estimate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577526
Standard methods for the analysis of linear latent variable models often rely on the assumption that the vector of observed variables is normally distributed. This normality assumption (NA) plays a crucial role in assessing optimality of estimates, in computing standard errors, and in designing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572637
In panel data the interest is often in slope estimation while taking account of the unobserved cross sectional … heterogeneity. This paper proposes two nonparametric slope estimation where the unobserved effect is treated as fixed across cross … variable. Simulation results suggest that the new nonparametric estimators perform better than the parametric counterparts. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119099
estimation of the panel probit model. Both techniques circumvent multiple integration of joint density functions without the need … paid to a three-stage GMM estimator based on nonparametric estimation of the optimal instruments for given conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134910
Economic theory commonly distinguishes between different time horizons such as the short run and the long run, each …. This paper proposes a new estimator for non-stationary panel data models, a bandspectrum cointegration estimator. The … efficient than estimates from a model with non-stationary data. Still, simulation results in the paper show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419355