The main aim of this article is to model the quarterly real money demand in Romania and to make short-run forecasts for 2014:Q1-2015:Q1. A vector-autoregressive model (VAR(1)) was built for stationary data series of real money demand, real GDP and spread between active and pasive interest rate...

Econometric modelling and exponential smoothing techniques are two quantitative forecasting methods with good results in practice, but the objective of the research was to find out which of the two techniques are better for short run predictions. Therefore, for inflation, unemployment and...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

"The Barometer of the Romanian Economy" intends to be a mirror of the evolution of the Romanian economy and, at the same time, to be its global indicator of the state and trend. "The Barometer of the Romanian Economy" was first published some years ago in Microeconomia aplicata, on the...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

This paper is organized in two parts, the presentation of the model of inflation for Romania, and the results of different scenarios starting from the base model. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for the simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...