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We study the dynamics of liquidity and news releases around jumps by identifying their intraday timing for the Dow Jones Industrial Average index constituents. Jumps are found to coincide with a significant increase in trading costs and demand for immediacy, amplified by the release of news....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010737887
An estimator of the ex-post covariation of log-prices under asynchronicity and microstructure noise is proposed. It uses the Cholesky factorization on the correlation matrix in order to exploit the heterogeneity in trading intensity to estimate the different parameters sequentially with as many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851233
Large one-off events cause large changes in prices, but may not affect the volatility and correlation dynamics as much as smaller events. In such cases, standard volatility models may deliver biased covariance forecasts. We propose a multivariate volatility forecasting model that is accurate in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051412
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Modified Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) are recently introduced downside risk estimators based on the Cornish-Fisher expansion for assets such as hedge funds whose returns are non-normally distributed. Modified VaR has been widely implemented as a portfolio selection criterion....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836587
We examine the profitability of implementing a short term trading strategy based on predicting the error in analysts' earnings per share forecasts using publicly available information. In the 1998-2010 I/B/E/S data, the strategy of taking a long (short) position in stocks with the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552121
A jump robust positive semidefinite rank-based estimator for the daily covariance matrix based on high-frequency intraday returns is proposed. It disentangles covariance estimation into variance and correlation components. This allows us to account for non-synchronous trading by estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010617662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925329
Opening, lunch and closing of financial markets induce a periodic component in the volatility of high-frequency returns. We show that price jumps cause a large bias in the classical periodicity estimators and propose robust alternatives. We find that accounting for periodicity greatly improves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008863145
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