The article contains generalized calculations of Russian citizens’ level of prosperity during 1989–2009. Particularly, the authors consider Russian citizens’ income and expenses change, shifts in physical indicators of consumption (including non-market services) and estimate the...

During recent years the Russian money market has undergone substantial changes. The period of abundant liquidity was followed by temporary contraction in the end of 2007 and then by rapid deterioration of liquidity conditions in the second half of 2008. This paper provides the analysis of these...

According to the preliminary estimate of the State Committee on Statistics [Goskomstat], Russia's GDP last year was 1,659 trillion rubles as compared with 611 trillion rubles in 1994. The growth in nominal volume due to inflation, while diminishing substantially during the year, nevertheless...

We apply an econometric approach developed specifically to address the ‘curse of dimensionality’ in Russian data and estimate a Bayesian vector autoregression model comprising 14 major domestic real, price and monetary macroeconomic indicators as well as external sector variables. We conduct...

The paper investigates to what extent some basic tools of the ECBs monetary analysis can be useful for other central banks given their specific institutional, economic and financial environment. We take the case of the Bank of Russia in order to show how to adjust methods and techniques of...

This article presents three alternative models for decomposing loan developments into components associated with changes in loan demand and supply fundamentals. Two models are based on macro data (error correction model and structural vector autoregression with sign restrictions) and one is...

We present a model that incorporates the information contained in diverse variables when estimating sustainable output growth. For this purpose, we specify a state-space model representing a multivariate HP filter that links cyclical fluctuation in GDP with several indicators of macroeconomic...

We estimate money demand models for certain monetary aggregates across different institutional sectors (a novelty for the Russian case). Our results comprise a collection of money demand equations that include different combinations of explanatory variables. Comparing the validity of these...