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In this paper, I analyze an example in which two perfectly informed experts advise a decision maker. Each expert has private information about her own bias. I show that consulting two experts is better than consulting just one. I compare the efficiency of information transmission between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515927
Genome-wide association studies hold great promise in identifying disease-susceptibility variants and understanding the genetic etiology of complex diseases. Microarray technology enables the genotyping of millions of single nucleotide polymorphisms. Many factors in microarray studies, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292379
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Properties of the periodogram are seldom studied in the setting of nonparametric regression, although that is the context in which the periodogram is widely applied in astronomy. There it is a competitor with more recent least-squares methods. The periodogram has the advantage of providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005569490
Arising from an omitted term in a calculation in the Appendix, variance formulae in the paper should be adjusted. In particular, the constants in the numerators of equations (2·4) and (2·15) should be 6 rather than 18. Variances are, however, still higher than in the case of least-squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005569494
We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout. Potential voters experience regret if they fail to vote, which is the motivation for participation in voting. Regret from abstention is inversely related to the margin of victory. Voters on the winner's side experience less regret than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790460
We study the quality of advice that an informed and biased expert gives to an uninformed decision maker. We compare two scenarios: mandatory disclosure of the bias and nondisclosure, where information about the bias can only be revealed through cheap-talk. We find that in many scenarios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005153337
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We study the policy choice of an incumbent politician who is concerned with the public's perception of his capability. The politician decides whether to maintain the status quo or to conduct a risky reform. The success of the reform critically depends on the ability of the politician in oce,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008617039