In this paper we propose a subsampling estimator for the distribution of statistics diverging at either known rates when the underlying time series in strictly stationary and strong mixing. Based on our results we provide a detailed discussion how to estimate extreme order statistics with...

The well-known ARCH/GARCH models for financial time series have been criticized of late for their poor performance in volatility prediction, that is, prediction of squared returns. Focusing on three representative data series, namely a foreign exchange series (Yen vs. Dollar), a stock index...

A new class of multivariate threshold GARCH models is proposed for the analysis and modelling of volatility asymmetries in financial time series. The approach is based on the idea of a binary tree where every terminal node parameterizes a (local) multivariate GARCH model for a specific partition...

This paper gives an arbitrage-free prediction for future prices of an arbitrary co-terminal set of options with a given maturity, based on the observed time series of these option prices. The statistical analysis of such a multi-dimensional time series of option prices corresponding to $n$...

Background: Since the attribution of the Nobel prize in 2002 to Kahneman for prospect theory, behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual...

Background: Since the attribution of the Nobel prize in 2002 to Kahneman for prospect theory, behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual...

Behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual investment behavior. Behavioral finance thereby ignores any interaction between participants. We...

Background: Since the attribution of the Nobel prize in 2002 to Kahneman for prospect theory, behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual...