We examine the empirical role of different explanations for the lack of flows of capital from rich to poor countries the quot;Lucas Paradox.quot; The theoretical explanations include differences in fundamentals across countries and capital market imperfections. We show that during 1970-2000 low...

We study the effect of banking linkages on output spillovers with a specific focus on the transmission of 2007–2009 crisis from advanced countries to emerging markets. In a country-pair sample of 17 advanced economies and 11 emerging markets between 1977 and 2012, we find that, in periods...

This paper analyzes qualitatively and quantitatively the e ects of declining mortality rates on fertility, education and economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that if individuals are prudent in the face of uncertainty about child survival, a decline in an exogenous mortality rate reduces...

Using a variance decomposition of shocks to GDP, we quantify the role of international factor income, international transfers, and saving in achieving risk sharing during the recent European crisis. We focus on the sub-periods 1990-2007, 2008-2009, and 2010 and consider separately the European...

We decompose capital flows--both debt and equity--into public and private components and study their relationship with productivity growth. This exercise reveals that international capital flows are mainly shaped by government decisions and sovereign to sovereign transactions. Specifically, we...

The historical pattern of the demographic transition suggests that fertility declines follow mortality declines, followed by a rise in human capital accumulation and economic growth. The HIV/AIDS epidemic threatens to reverse this path. A recent paper by Young (2005), however, suggests that...

integration is equivalent to a nearly 15% permanent increase in consumption.