The paper explores the inflationary implications of exchange rate regime reforms in a small open economy model combining the public finance view of inflation with multiple exchange markets. To account for the experience of many developing countries, the analysis focuses on transitions to...

The paper investigates the potential effects of the exchange rate regime on the conditional volatilities and international correlations on bond and stock markets. The analysis is essentially empirical. It focuses on the recent experience of the EMS, and examines the behavior of domestic daily...

Commodity price booms, as those recorded in the last decade, may have a significant economic impact in small, commodity exporting, developing countries. Whether the impact on output is positive or negative is still unclear. It depends on various factors, notably on the impact that commodity...

While most of the literature on the determination of real exchange rates is focused on the role of standard macroeconomic variables, there exists how- ever a few papers that are more concerned by the impact of factors which are usually considered to play a key role in the process of economic...

This paper provides new empirical evidence about the relationship that may exist between real exchange rates and commodity prices in developing countries that are specialized in the export of a main primary commodity. It investigates how structural factors like the exchange rate regime, the...

Bien que la situation économique belge se soit quelque peu améliorée depuis notre analyse conjoncturelle d’il y a 3 mois, elle demeure fragile. La confiance des ménages et des entreprises reste faible, les créations d’emplois sont limitées et le chômage est toujours élevé. La...