The model developed in this paper provides a formal prospect theory account of Challenger's behavior in the traditional deterrence game played under sequential decision analysis. The model is used to analyze two basic claims commonly made in the international relations literature regarding the...

For many decades over the 20th Century, the mainstream of economics adopted a normative and axiomatic theory of individual behavior in which maximizing procedures were carried out by rationally unbounded agents. This status has been challenged on many grounds and alternative views from fields...

We extend the pioneering work of Aumann–Serrano by presenting an index of riskiness for gambles with either positive or negative expectations. It can be of use for a variety of abstract behaviors, when adapting the framework of either Expected-Utility Theory or Prospect Theory.

This paper introduces the concept of range-dependent utility. Instead of reference dependence which evaluates outcomes relative to some reference point, we postulate dependence on a given lottery (set of lotteries) outcomes range. In this way the decision maker is a fully rational expected...

The utility of an investor should be based on an acceptable loss in the loss region and a target return in the gain region of a set of investment opportunities. The level of these benchmarks will unveil an opportunity cost, break-even effect, or indifference when the return of an investment...

This paper experimentally tests whether violations of Savage's (1954) subjective expected utility theory decrease if the ambiguity of an uncertain decision situation is reduced through statistical learning. Because our data does not show such a decrease, existing models which formalize ambiguity...