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This article investigates the time series relationship between equity and crude oil markets using option-implied risk-neutral moments. We recover daily time series of constant-maturity risk-neutral volatility (RNV), skewness and kurtosis using options data for the S&P 500 and WTI oil futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011104885
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine financial integration across North American stock markets from January 1984 to December 2003. Design/methodology/approach – The paper uses an arbitrage pricing theory framework. The risk factors considered are the three Fama and French...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004993578
This paper evaluates the domestic and international impacts of lowering short-term interest rates and increasing budget spending on several indicators of liquidity, volatility, credit and economic activity. Data from the 2003–2011 period in the United States, the Euro zone and Canada were used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703242
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010177836
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005503809
Long memory, and more precisely fractionally integration, has been put forward as an explanation for the persistence of shocks in a number of economic time series data as well as to reconcile misleading findings of unit roots in data that should be stationary. Recent evidence suggests that long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005522223
Commodity cash and futures prices have been rising steadily since 2006. As evidenced by the April 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Agricultural Forum, there is much concern among traditional futures and options market participants that the usefulness of commodity derivatives has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005525100
Both prices and the volatility of storable agricultural commodity futures contracts have been rising since 2005 and particularly since 2007. This paper aims to answer two principal questions: (i) How has the behavior of these futures prices over time and across maturities changed with the rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005525102
This paper investigates whether the assumption of Brownian motion often used to describe commodity price movements is satisfied. Using historical data from 17 commodity futures contracts specific tests of fractional and ordinary Brownian motion are conducted. The analyses are conducted under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005525192
We estimate a model of common and commodity-specific, high- and low-frequency factors, built on the spline-GARCH model of Engle and Rangel (2008) to explain the period of exceptionally high price volatility in commodity markets during 2006-2008. We find that decomposing realized volatility into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979704