Twenty-five years ago, a team led by Nobel laureate Wassily Leontief applied the United Nations World Input-Output Model to make forecasts of world fuel and mineral resources for the year 2000 and beyond. Ira Sohn, a member of that team, reflects on his experience with this long-term forecasting...

As a result of rapid technological advances, widespread regulatory change and continuing globalization of the world economy over the last twenty years, we have witnessed a resumption in the growth in living standards in most countries from their stalled levels in the 1970s. Unfortunately, these...

As we enter the 21st century, Paraguay, a country of 5.2m people, is only "reluctantly" and at "glacial speed" making tentative moves to put in place the necessary ingredients to promote sustained growth and development within a fiercely competitive regional and global economy to the end of...

Despite almost two decades of economic and financial reform following the collapse of the economy at the beginning of the 1980s, Bolivia, a country of 9 million people, still has the lowest GDP per capita in South America and an official poverty rate that exceeds 60% of the population. Despite...

International financial crime - tax evasion, money laundering and financing terrorism -- is a generic term referring to the placement and movement of financial assets that have their source in criminal activities, which is occurring in greater magnitude and with greater frequency in the global...

For the first book (a look backward), Sohn reviews FrieedmanÕs Òhistorical overview of the pioneers of forecasting, of the economic environments in which they worked, and of tool sets and methodologies they used to generate their forecasts.Ó These fathers of forecasting include Roger Babson,...

Sohn reviews the National Intelligence CouncilÕs fifth quadrennial report, which Òprovides a framework to stimulate thinking about the rapid geopolitical and technological changes unfolding in the world today,Ó and their implications for the future. Copyright International Institute of...