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We examine whether the predictions of minimax in zero-sum games holds under highly incentivized conditions with highly informed informed decision makers. We examine data from 3455 National Football League (NFL) games from the 2000 season through the 2012 season. We categorize every relevant play...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113826
How does overconfidence arise and how does it persist in the face of experience and feedback? In an experimental setting, we examine how individuals’ beliefs about their own performance on a quiz react to noisy, but unbiased feedback. In a control treatment, each participant expresses her...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011131659
How do individuals’ beliefs respond to ego-relevant information? After receiving noisy, but unbiased performance feedback, participants in an experiment overestimate their own scores on a quiz and believe their feedback to be ‘unlucky’, estimating that it under-represents their score by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048066
This chapter considers the social structuring processes that occur in groups that use computer medicated communication (CMC). We propose several mechanisms through which status is created, negotiated, and managed in such groups. This chapter builds on earlier model of status dynamics in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005553452
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How does overconfidence arise and persist in the face of experience and feedback? We examine experimentally how individuals' beliefs about their absolute, as opposed to relative, performance on a quiz react to noisy, but unbiased, feedback. Participants believe themselves to have received...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678013
We document a lower bound for thecontrol premium: agents' willingness to pay to control their own payoff. Participants choose between an asset that will pay only if they later answer a particular quiz question correctly and one that pays only if their partner answers a different question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678028
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This paper considers whether having an obligation to do something involves having a special kind of reason to do it. I focus on those obligations which arise from the exercise of normative powers e.g. commands and promises. Various theories of obligation are examined, particularly that of Joseph...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723760