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We empirically assess whether a usually expected negative response of private consumption and private investment to a … HP-based; and iii) the Hamilton (2018)-based. We find that: i) increases in government consumption have a Keynesian … effect on real per capita private consumption; ii) there is a positive effect of tax increases on private consumption when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504460
In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983667
We study the relationship between the budget balance and the current account balance for European Union(EU) countries, using quarterly data from1995 to2020. Through the use of panel Granger causality tests and a panel SUR model, we conclude that the relationship is bi-directional for the EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649364
negative long run relationship between the share of public consumption on GDP and the current account balance. As expected, the … variation of real public consumption produces an adverse accumulated response on the current account balance. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012595472
We revisit the relation between budget deficits and current account deficits for 28 European Union countries from 1996 to 2019. We find that an increase in budget deficit of 1 pp of GDP results in a deterioration of the current account deficit of 0.318 pp of GDP, which supports the Twin Deficits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504606
We investigate the bilateral relationship between government budget balances and current account balances for Portugal and Germany. We find that the response of the current account balance to the budget balance is greater in Portugal than in Germany. On the other hand, the response of the budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014293956
We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938962
We evaluate the impact of government spending efficiency on fiscal sustainability for a panel of 35 OECD countries during the period of 2007-2020. To answer our research question we first compute the magnitude of the responses of government revenues to changes in government spending. Next, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187684
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003330044
The prevalence of either Ricardian or non-Ricardian fiscal regimes is important both for practical policy reasons and to assess fiscal sustainability, and this is of particular relevance for European Union countries. The purpose of this paper is to assess, with a panel data set, the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003209199