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The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

-switching autoregressive (MS-AR) model. Their results show that the MF-MS-VAR fits the different recession regimes, and provides out …-of-sample forecasts of recession probabilities which are more accurate than those derived from the MS-VAR and MS-AR models. The results …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324

The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

-switching autoregressive (MS-AR) model. The results show that the MF-MS-VAR fits the different recession regimes, and provides out …-of-sample forecasts of recession probabilities which are more accurate than those derived from the MS-VAR and MS-AR models. The results …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536

Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the long-run US-UK stock market correlation

Asgharian, Hossein; Christiansen, Charlotte; Gupta, Rangan - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541711

Time-frequency relationship between US output with commodity and asset prices

Tiwari, Aviral Kumar; Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu; … - In: Applied economics 48 (2016) 1/3, pp. 227-242

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412694

Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market

Christou, Christina; Gupta, Rangan; Nyakabawo, Wendy - In: Economics letters 180 (2019), pp. 15-20

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121736

Flexibility of adjustment to shocks : economic growth and volatility of middle-income countries before and after the global financial crisis of 2008

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Estrada, Gemma; … - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 54 (2018) 4/5/6, pp. 1112-1131

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123569

Flexibility of adjustment to shocks : economic growth and volatility of middle-income countries before and after the global financial crisis of 2008

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Estrada, Gemma; … - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011684425

Flexibility of adjustment to shocks : economic growth and volatility of middle-income countries before and after the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Estrada, Gemma; … - 2017

The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754881

Growth volatility and inequality in the U.S. : a wavelet analysis

Chang, Shinhye; Gupta, Rangan; Miller, Stephen M.; … - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881494

Symposium: Emerging economies : business cycles, growth, and policy

Gupta, Rangan (contributor) - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 51 (2015) 3, pp. 445-536

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403756