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We document extreme bias and dispersion in the small sample distributions of five standard regression tests of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates. These biases derive from the extreme persistence in short interest rates. We derive approximate analytic expressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414696
We examine the empirical evidence on the expectation hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany using the Campbell-Shiller (1991) regressions and a vector-autoregressive methodology. We argue that anomalies in the U.S. term structure,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414712
. We develop a term structure model with regime switches, time-varying prices of risk and inflation to identify these …-cyclical (counter-cyclical) and inflation is negatively correlated with real rates. An inflation risk premium that increases with the … of nominal term spreads is due to expected inflation and inflation risk. …
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approach return and risk of various rollover option strategies (put hedge; covered short call; collar). In addition to measure …) historique, ils evaluent le possibilites et risques des strategies de hedging par options (put hedge; covered short call; collar … auteurs essaient d´identifier des relations determinantes entre les differents types des strategies de hedging par options …
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