Showing 1 - 10 of 69
volatility specifications, in terms of point forecasting to some degree and density forecasting to a greater degree. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143797
Small or medium-scale VARs are commonly used in applied macroeconomics for forecasting and evaluating the shock … instability in a forecasting context. While none of the methods clearly emerges as best, some techniques turn out to be useful to … improve the forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143851
We examine the role of macroeconomic fluctuations, asset market liquidity, and network structure in determining contagion and aggregate losses in a financial system. Systemic instability is explored in a financial network comprising three distinct, but interconnected, sets of agents - domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281490
the pandemic period, as well as for earlier subsamples of relatively high volatility. In historical forecasting, outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187449
VARs are a popular tool for forecasting and structural analysis, but ill-suited to handle occasionally binding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320848
the pandemic period, as well as for earlier subsamples of relatively high volatility. In historical forecasting, outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184356
VARs are a popular tool for forecasting and structural analysis, but ill-suited to handle occasionally binding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320745
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009619091
How does asset encumbrance affect the fragility of intermediaries subject to rollover risk? We offer a model in which a bank issues covered bonds backed by a pool of assets that is bankruptcy remote and replenished following losses. Encumbering assets allows a bank to raise cheap secured debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564696
We propose a tractable, model-based stress-testing framework where the solvency risks, funding liquidity risks and market risks of banks are intertwined. We highlight how coordination failure between a bank's creditors and adverse selection in the secondary market for the bank's assets interact,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396708