This paper proposes a unifying theory of forecasting in the form of a Golden Rule of Forecasting. The Golden Rule is to be conservative. A conservative forecast is consistent with cumulative knowledge about the present and the past. To be conservative, forecasters must seek all knowledge...

Article about the features of investment in human capital. Explore different areas of investment in human capital, and also addresses the problems associated with investing in human capital and ways to solve them. The author proves the thesis futile investment in human capital and labor without...